Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.003611 0.003786 0.003966 0.004162 0.004373 0.004592 0.004836
2025-02-02 0.003380 0.003653 0.003943 0.004277 0.004651 0.005058 0.005538
2025-02-09 0.003142 0.003462 0.003812 0.004226 0.004704 0.005242 0.005899
2025-02-16 0.002987 0.003343 0.003741 0.004222 0.004793 0.005453 0.006284
2025-02-23 0.002850 0.003231 0.003665 0.004200 0.004848 0.005617 0.006610
2025-03-02 0.002769 0.003177 0.003648 0.004241 0.004975 0.005865 0.007046
2025-03-09 0.002658 0.003079 0.003574 0.004205 0.005000 0.005984 0.007319
2025-03-16 0.002558 0.002989 0.003502 0.004166 0.005016 0.006088 0.007572
2025-03-23 0.002453 0.002889 0.003412 0.004099 0.004990 0.006131 0.007744
2025-03-30 0.002360 0.002798 0.003331 0.004037 0.004965 0.006173 0.007911
2025-04-06 0.002306 0.002755 0.003306 0.004045 0.005032 0.006336 0.008250
2025-04-13 0.002187 0.002626 0.003167 0.003899 0.004886 0.006205 0.008165
2025-04-20 0.002143 0.002591 0.003150 0.003915 0.004961 0.006382 0.008538
2025-04-27 0.002138 0.002607 0.003198 0.004020 0.005161 0.006743 0.009203
2025-05-04 0.002072 0.002541 0.003137 0.003973 0.005148 0.006799 0.009411
2025-05-11 0.002028 0.002501 0.003109 0.003969 0.005195 0.006943 0.009760
2025-05-18 0.001979 0.002454 0.003069 0.003949 0.005215 0.007046 0.010051
2025-05-25 0.001956 0.002440 0.003073 0.003987 0.005321 0.007281 0.010565
2025-06-01 0.001907 0.002391 0.003027 0.003953 0.005319 0.007352 0.010813
2025-06-08 0.001861 0.002342 0.002981 0.003918 0.005313 0.007414 0.011049
2025-06-15 0.001807 0.002283 0.002918 0.003856 0.005264 0.007407 0.011163
2025-06-22 0.001757 0.002228 0.002860 0.003799 0.005220 0.007404 0.011286
2025-06-29 0.001731 0.002206 0.002846 0.003806 0.005275 0.007561 0.011697